Tuesday, October 18, 2016
The Election Is Over
The magic number is 270.
In case you're still wondering about the US election, you can rest easy. Clinton will win. The only remaining doubt is how large the margin of victory will be. Most significantly, she is ahead in the states that matter, those with a large number of electoral votes. Of the six states with the most electors - California (55), Texas (38), New York )29), Florida (29), Illinois (20) and Pennsylvania (20) - Clinton is slated to win California, New York and Illinois; Trump has a good chance of taking Texas; Florida and Pennsylvania are leaning heavily toward Clinton.
The popular vote will be somewhat, but not nail bitingly, close. Probably around 49% Clinton to 43% Trump. But the electoral vote will be much closer, around 344 to 193. There is no way Trump can make it to 270.
at 11:17 AM